The world is battling this unprecedented COVID Pandemic. This has come out of the blue and the so-called technological advancements in the world failed to understand it. The pandemic has resulted in total lockdowns which were unheard off in the present-day scenario and has resulted in the total stoppage of both demand and supply.
The economy has seen a free fall in the last 3 months. As the year 2020 started with the slow-paced economy and with the onset of Covid-19 impact, Economists had to scramble on their proven theories and philosophies. It will be a daunting task for most of the companies to weather this storm. Their balance sheets will certainly push the Leadership’s capability and their effective decision-making process will be put to test. Post-Covid, it will create unprecedented opportunities to challenge the good old paradigms, accelerate new ways of working, and outmanoeuvre the competitors as whole industries have to be reshaped.
Indian Government has taken very calculative measures at the right time compared to other countries. As the lockdown continued, the Government took calibrated steps to address the ground reality. The lockdown is a critical step to flatten the curve of the pandemic and avert a health care crisis. At the same time, the government has to manage the state of the economy, address concerns of the stressed sections of the society —the daily wage earners, the agriculture sector, and uplift the micro, small and medium enterprises segments (MSMEs). The earlier the economy is restarted, the easier it will be to bring it to normalcy. It is also vital for the government and the RBI to create a sense of confidence, especially for small business enterprises, migrant workers and individual consumers.
The fundamental difference between the current economic crisis and earlier ones is in its lightning-fast impact, together with huge scientific uncertainty about its potential curability factor. The US economy went from a booming economy and full employment to an economic coma with skyrocketing unemployment in a matter of weeks. While no one knows when and how long it would take for the world to return to normalcy, or what the new normal would look like, the forces at play would certainly push the top leadership team to act carefully and execute a well-structured balancing act going forward. Companies cannot afford to underreact to the crisis (thereby risking financial ruin), nor overreact and diminish relative competitive positioning or lose investor confidence.
Can this crisis be an opportunity for Indian MSME? This is the question ringing the bell across all levels and good fodder for all think tanks. I presume India, should be in a better position on many fronts and would resurrect and bounce back with much more vigour in the next 2 quarters. The Indian Pharma sector would create much more business than expected. India has supported till date 49 countries with exports of anti-Malarial and Paracetamol drugs – a part of the export is on humanitarian grounds. This gesture is going to have a rippling effect on our economy and would pull back the majority of businesses to India from China market. The key aspect is the dependence of SAARC countries on India who has emerged as a big brother among this group. Thus, there could be a high potential of exports for MSMEs if the business pitch is in its right direction during Post Covid -19 era.
MSMEs are the backbone of Indian Economy. As per a government report, the MSME sector contributes 31.8% of Gross Value Added (GVA), 48.10% of exports, and provided employment to 11.10 crore people as per 2019 data from over 29 million units across the country. They cater to a wide range of sectors and their survival is key in the current situation. Gone are the days where we used to hear “Survival of the Fittest’. Post Covid scenario, it will be ‘Survival of the Quickest’.
All these years, MSMEs have generally adopted a particular system which used to be a sort of the norm for them. However, there needs to be a total change of mindset going forward. Following are the comprehensive 12 step strategy applicable to all sectors of MSME and could facilitate them to tide over the current economic downturn and the challenges in a positive way.
Post-COVID business dynamics for MSME’s is going to be a challenge and a focused approach surely would provide a much-needed intravenous impetus to this sector. Not all MSME sectors would be facing a challenge as there will be tremendous scope for certain sectors.
Auto sector MSME’s will be under pressure as this segment is reeling with huge inventory pile up at their end. The strain on people’s buying power would rub salt to the wound at this stage. Such MSMEs should start innovating supply potential to Electric and Hybrid components which will be the order of the day. They should change their mindset – not ‘out of the box thinking’ but it should be ‘out of another box thinking concept.
Pharma MSMEs will have a tremendous opportunity as the Health care sector is going to rule the world for the next 2 to 3 years. Engineering MSMEs should innovate their capabilities to cater to high potential FMCG sector which has the potential to turn the tide by Q3’20.
INNOVATE the thinking, INNOVATE the business strategy, INNOVATE the process as INNOVATION is the only Mantra for MSME in this crisis situation. India is a high potential nation and with the tide turning against China Manufacturers, it is certainly a matter of time for a favourable turnover for all MSME.
Mr Purushotham Gururaj – Chief Business Strategist at P2P – Business Solution Providers, is a renowned certified Lean Six Sigma Master Black Belt with over 35 years of Industrial experience at various Senior Management Levels. He was instrumental in introducing several innovative management concepts with an aim to impart effective conceptual changes across organizations both in India and at the global level. He is a regular guest speaker at various Manufacturing Excellence forums and a leading consultant to both Engineering and FMCG organizations.
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